Posts tagged Football Outsiders
Tomorrow, the Green Bay Packers will be in Chicago to take on the Bears in the NFC Championship Game. The media have highlighted the Packers’ long injury list (15 players on IR), and earlier this week Football Outsiders published a games-lost-by-starters statistic showing that the Pack lost a total of 83 starter-games in 2010. The statistic also estimates that the Colts lost 89 starter-games – a significant number to be sure, but not significantly more than the Packers. It’s fair to wonder why the Packers have been able to recover enough from injuries to make it to the NFCCG, while the Colts are watching the rest of the playoffs on TV. This post offers a perspective.
Colts fans are stuck in limbo. The Super Bowl is still two weeks away, so talking about the off-season seems premature. Before fans get to that point, it is worthwhile to take a look back at 2010 to gauge where the Colts franchise will be when the draft and summer activities roll around.
One of the biggest impacts on Indianapolis in 2010 was the unprecedented number of injuries the team had to play through. The Colts placed 18 players on Injured Reserve, and two others on the injured/waived list — including Taj Smith, who rejoined the Colts. This number does not include injured players who missed multiple games throughout the year, but still managed to hold onto a roster spot.
Below are three ways to examine Indy’s injuries in 2010.
Jason Cole Misses the Mark in Colts Rankings: Offensive Line
Posted by Greg Cowan in Off-Season Coverage | 2,738 views
For Colts fans, Jason Cole is to the written word what Cris Collinsworth is to the spoken: Both are football analysts given a national voice who have the habit of making pretty questionable statements about our favorite team. This off season, Jason Cole is (why they let him into a locker room full of naked men with such questionable motives is another discussion).
For the next few weeks we will look at Mr. Cole’s rankings and analysis on each unit, using standard NFL stats, advanced stats, and also some good, old fashion common sense. We will also continue the discussion and analysis for each unit of this year’s Colts team on our own, discussing potential depth charts and any potential changes in scheme stemming from personnel and coaching changes.More >
My Issue with Colts Statistical Analysis
Over summer, football fans are hungry for news. There is very little going on, particularly between organized team activities and training camp, so many will find numerous sources using statistical analysis to analyze NFL teams — and predict the likelihood of future success.
I think statistical analysis is a great tool for reviewing performance on a large scale. It allows fans to get a panoramic view of the kind of team the Colts, or other teams, were in the previous season. Statistics also serve as a tool for loose projections about future success.
The issue I have with statistics is that they do not go far enough to tell the whole story. Very rarely are they broken down into enough cross-sections or variables for an accurate perspective to form. Beyond that, no matter how many different ways they are broken down they can be misleading.
Something to Prove: Kelvin Hayden
At the outset of each new season there are a number of players who, for various reasons, have failed to live up to expectations. Others are under pressure to perform at a high level in an effort to score a lucrative contract extension. The “Something to Prove” series will discuss each of these players as the Colts head into summer activities and prepare for the 2010 NFL season.
Colts Secondary: No Need To Panic
The Indianapolis Colts secondary has gone through a lot of transition during the 2010 off-season. Gone are former first round draft pick Marlin Jackson, former second-round draft pick Tim Jennings, and back-up corner and punt returner T.J. Rushing. Kelvin Hayden is joined only by second-year players Jerraud Powers and Jacob Lacey from the 2009 Colts Super Bowl team. At first glance, that looks troubling, particularly when the loss of this year’s third round pick Kevin Thomas is thrown into consideration.
But before fans get become inoculated with worry, doubt, or lose sleep over what would appear to be a depleted depth chart at corner back, let’s consider what the Colts really have to replace.